Trouble for McKenzie

The New Democratic Party of New Brunswick is struggling to stay above water. Leader Jennifer McKenzie was acclaimed leader without opposition but not because there was no opposition to her being leader; but rather because nobody else wanted the job. Former leader Dominic Cardy carved up the party and left deep divisions and high debts.

The election campaign has not begun officially yet, but the other parties are hard at work nominating candidates across the province. Unsurprisingly, the nominations for Liberals and Progressive Conservatives are nearly full. The Green Party and People’s Alliance are also busy putting names to paper. The NDP however is lagging far behind with only 7 out of 49 nominations. The NDP is ahead of only Keep It Simple Solutions in terms of nominations.

Early polling for the party is not good either. The party polled lower in March than at the time of the previous election which saw them win no seats. They are still polling higher than the Greens, PANB, and KISS which might be their only silver lining. Those polls put the Liberal Party in a distant lead over McKenzie’s fledgling party.

McKenzie’s greatest hope of gaining any seat in the upcoming election was an obvious decision, one which Cardy lacked the foresight to consider. She decided to run in the one riding which actually sent a New Democrat to the legislature in recent years; Saint John Harbour. However, McKenzie’s trump card may be misplaced as Saint John Harbour is set to be one of the most hotly contested races in 2018. The Greens put forward stalwart Wayne Dryer. Also, popular former teacher Barry Ogden announced his intention to seek the nomination of the Progressive Conservative Party. The Liberals won the riding in 2014 by only 71 votes.

With no money, few candidates, and relatively zero news coverage, it would appear to be a very bad year for McKenzie to fight an election. It is crucial that the NDP reach out to potential voters this summer in a blitz of community barbeques and meet and greets. The riding associations need to formulate a plan to balance their books and appeal to favorable candidates before it’s too late. If McKenzie isn’t able to turn some numbers around, it could spell the end of the New Brunswick New Democrats.

May, Coon be with you

Today saw federal Green leader Elizabeth May add her two cents to the provincial election. May visited Fredericton with David Coon and a chorus of Green candidates for a very impromptu rally held at the Irock Bar. Turnout seemed good, though there was virtually no media present. The party offered free corn and coffee to people just prior to the soap box speeches. There were people banging tambourines and dancing to pop music. Others gave out pins and pamphlets. A reporter for CBC/Radio Canada desperately searched the crowd for a francophone (we did see her find at least one). CTV appeared to make a brief visit.

Once inside the bar, spirits seemed to lower considerably. There was only a brief wait before May and Coon entered, hand in hand to a short burst of applause. The crowded room then returned to a state of near silence. The first speaker was a young gentleman who couldn’t be heard. In an embarassing turn of events, the sound equipment wasn’t set up properly and the speaker went through ten minutes of testing the mic, shouting across the room and even using a bullhorn. Once he could finally be heard, he attempted to stir the room which looked more like a somber St. Patrick’s day funeral. Only a few polite people clapped.

The next speaker was David Coon’s wife, and member of the Green shadow cabinet, Janice Harvey. Harvey also experienced painful technical difficulties at several points during her bevy of memories involving May. At one point, campaign workers could be seen waving Harvey down when she became sidetracked and began reminiscing about the late Pierre Trudeau toppling the Joe Clark government more than thirty years ago.

Screens throughout the bar then went to video of Elizabeth May taking VIA Rail trains across the country, but another technical issue muted the sound for the first half of the long introductory video.

Once the video was over, May took the podium. The most concise speaker of the day, May reminded the university town of the importance of the student vote. She stressed the need for students to help each other understand the process, find the polls, and get out there to do their civic duty. She took the opportunity to attack Stephen Harper and the “Fair Elections Act”. May suggested that Green supporters tell female cashiers at grocery stores that this year they are voting Green. May urged New Brunswick to break free of old-party dictators and wake up; in so doing they would wake up the country.

The room finally began to come alive at this point, but still rather conservatively compared to other rallies and party picnics during the election period. While few clapped and even fewer cheered, many were watching their phones and checking watches. Campaign workers donned in green hustled about the room and tried in vain to get pockets of the audience fired up.

Like a political pro, May steamed on with passion and arms open. She recounted stories of media outlets mocking her chances of winning her seat in Saanich-Gulf Islands. She told a tale about a radiohost who told her she couldn’t get elected dog catcher. May said that she knew better, that she could feel a change coming. She said that she feels that change in New Brunswick. May stated a firm belief that David Coon could be the first elected Green MLA east of Vancouver Island.

A brief, weak chant of “David, David” started but ended just as suddenly.

Elizabeth May then announced the need for money. She asked that even if you had already donated, to donate again. When the room got cold she moved on to another story about Bruce Hyer crossing the floor to join the Green caucus and how members of the federal NDP voiced concern over being “customer service agents” but were comfortable with that status in the end. She said that Ottawa is not like the Frank Capra film “Mr Smith Goes to Washington”.

May then talked about the important of a myriad of free voices in parliament and the legislature. She invoked Sir John A. Macdonald and his sentiment of MPs being loose fish.

As Elizabeth May stepped down, the screens went to a video collection of images and videos, news clippings, and family photos of a young David Coon with a full head of hair. The video went over the course of Coon’s career in environmentalism and activism. There were a few awkward photos of young Coon in the shower with a set of hair ensconced abdominal muscles spliced in as well.

Coon stepped up at the closing of the video tribute and may have received an even warmer applause than May herself. He quickly went over the Green platform points; local economy, agriculture, improving living conditions for those on government assistance, and renewable energy. He joked and smiled. He discussed the severity of the sitaution in New Brunswick and how things have to change. Coon then enjoyed a more engaged “David, David” chant.

That was when Coon invited every campaign worker, staffer, and candidate up to the makeshift stage. As staffers and candidates moved up to the stage, one by one, by name; the room emptied. The well intended act revealed that nearly half of those in attendence were not supporters, voters, or undecideds; they were the Green Party itself. Now, the three-quarter empty room gazed up at the crowded stage with the all too familiar mellowness. The applause from the floor decreased little by little as the faces in the audience made their way to Coon’s side.

Poorly prepared rally aside, it is worth mentioning the flood of Green lawn signs that peppered the Fredericton hill when coming into Fredericton. Green signs outnumbered any other party in the riding. It was clear that Coon is well liked by those in the crucial riding. On top of lawn signs which could be found on nearly half the lawns passed, the party has a series of large signs sporting Coon’s smiling face all across town. Of all the towns and cities we have been to since the campaign started, none have seen the level of fondness nor support for the Green Party as Fredericton.

Perhaps the change which May and Coon so often referred to really is coming.

May Lends her Voice to Coon

The beginning of the 2014 New Brunswick Election saw the local leaders overshadowed by national notoriety of Gallant supporter Justin Trudeau. Trudeau swept into New Brunswick and travelled with Gallant to several cities and townships. He co-hosted a widely attended Liberal rally in downtown Fredericton. Together, the two Liberal leaders rode on the Big Red Bus and released videos to social media.

Now another popular leader from Ottawa joins the New Brunswick show. Elizabeth May, leader of the federal Green Party will be in Fredericton on September 14th with David Coon (provincial Green leader) at iRock Bar. Go Green! is an open event, a meet and greet with the two Green leaders as well as a handful of Green provincial candidates. May will be drumming up as much support as she can for Coon who is currently projected to win no seats but has brought up the popularity of the party. May is a considerable figure herself; the first Green MP in Canada, she has brought a former NDP MP across the floor to join her ranks, she has seen Green Party donations increase significantly, and is a very popular national figure.

Will her presence during the campaign season change anything for the provincial branch of the tree-hugging party? Undoubtedly. Will it be enough to help land some Greens seats in the legislature? That is to be determined.

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Wayne Dryer Goes Green

Wayne Dryer was the New Democrat candidate for Saint John Harbour in 2010 but will be running Green this year!

As speculated in an earlier post, Mr Dryer has officially jumped ship. Or as he suggested at a Green Party Rally held at the Saint John Public Library this year; the New Democrats abandoned him. Wayne ran a nomination bid for the NDP in Saint John Harbour but lost to new candidate Gary Stackhouse, a popular radio personality. Now the former Baptist Minister joins David Coon’s team and runs against Stackhouse in the provincial election.

In 2010, Saint John Harbour was a narrow three way race between Dr Ed Doherty (L), Carl Killen (PC), and Dryer. Killen won the riding with a modest lead. Killen received 1,333 votes, Doherty garnered 1326, and Dryer in third place with 1203. Patty Higgins ran as the Green contestant in 2010 but only won 236 votes (placing the Greens in an embarassing fifth place finish after Independent John Campbell who received 247).

We may expect  to see some NDP ballots go with Dryer as he moves to the new party. Dryer will need all the support his name can muster in a riding that placed the Green party behind a relatively unknown non-partisan name.