According to the newest seat projections, Stephen Harper’s Tories are poised to win the most seats in the upcoming federal election. According to threehundredeight.com, the Conservatives could win an estimated 136 seats over Justin Trudeau’s Liberals (with an estimated 126). Threehundredeight.com weighs the polling results of all the major pollsters, taking other considerations into account and is often very accurate. The projection puts the blue team in the lead only in terms of seat count but maintains the Liberals still hold the popular vote; 33.7% to the tories’ 32.4%. Thomas Mulcair and the New Democrats may win 72 seats, Elizabeth May and the Greens 2, Bloq Quebecois 2.
How is the battle shaping up in our neck of the woods? The Liberals are projected to take 23 seats in the Atlantic region. On our coast, Harper is only polling high enough to take 6 seats.
The Toronto Star suspects New Brunswick may give the Liberals a strong showing; citing the large increase in paid Liberal memberships from the province, as well as the continued shut out of the NDP. But again, the Tory surge seems to be on the rise and New Brunswick houses a few Conservative strongholds.
Trudeau may not have the easy fight that was projected just a month ago. However, Harper is still in minority territory and overall the Left will have a majority of seats- should they ever stop attacking one another and decide to work together.
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